Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.187154 6.807161 7.467754 8.224934 9.070008 9.985484 11.054075
2025-11-16 5.075732 5.897589 6.828598 7.965070 9.319914 10.889482 12.854359
2025-11-23 4.303441 5.242175 6.363937 7.811631 9.642564 11.897077 14.907880
2025-11-30 3.812325 4.846236 6.143143 7.904767 10.258774 13.329068 17.691167
2025-12-07 3.342016 4.410725 5.810042 7.799831 10.594480 14.436765 20.218777
2025-12-14 2.926350 3.992391 5.442479 7.591030 10.748144 15.303847 22.535862
2025-12-21 2.631312 3.701266 5.208965 7.530378 11.090019 16.468822 25.459335
2025-12-28 2.448574 3.546096 5.145845 7.702194 11.788497 18.249949 29.619944
2026-01-04 2.282684 3.395534 5.069018 7.837177 12.438050 20.032871 34.072220
2026-01-11 2.113006 3.220119 4.932776 7.856658 12.894289 21.549544 38.308180
2026-01-18 1.944893 3.029541 4.751145 7.776466 13.164485 22.772386 42.202990
2026-01-25 1.787753 2.841130 4.553033 7.642715 13.317662 23.796214 45.879032
2026-02-01 1.644561 2.665396 4.363365 7.509920 13.469518 24.865360 49.904857
2026-02-08 1.523471 2.516115 4.204496 7.414357 13.678565 26.075506 54.465583
2026-02-15 1.422746 2.392945 4.079273 7.366195 13.971956 27.496320 59.773963
2026-02-22 1.361391 2.333349 4.061176 7.517927 14.682936 29.889753 67.822587
2026-03-01 1.277032 2.225042 3.943771 7.462025 14.956533 31.380973 74.012791
2026-03-08 1.186095 2.097217 3.778469 7.291845 14.963679 32.275967 78.887308
2026-03-15 1.119889 2.010098 3.682682 7.252970 15.251278 33.858128 85.915841
2026-03-22 1.084183 1.977864 3.690170 7.430877 16.049588 36.784997 97.333866
2026-03-29 1.046566 1.938768 3.680264 7.569611 16.775213 39.652808 109.301213
2026-04-05 0.999977 1.878314 3.621794 7.594514 17.231777 41.908323 120.001207
2026-04-12 0.947475 1.802102 3.524508 7.521454 17.437967 43.536253 129.148158